Understanding Labor Market Dynamics in the Age of AI
How many workers will the U.S. need to add over the next decade to meet demand without putting upward pressure on wages? This tool visualizes projected supply-demand gaps by occupation and metro area, letting you explore different scenarios of AI adoption and technological change.
Key metrics on projected labor supply-demand gaps through 2034
Traditional "labor shortages" don't exist in economics—markets clear through wage adjustments. Instead, we ask: How many additional workers are needed to meet projected demand while keeping real wages growing at the rate of GDP per capita (~1.5%/year)?
A positive "gap" means demand exceeds supply—without additional workers, wages would rise faster than productivity growth.
Select an occupation category or specific occupation to see how labor gaps vary across U.S. metro areas